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Famagusta Gazette

News From Cyprus

Turkey’s year‑end inflation forecast eases to 31.17%

ByFamagusta Gazette

Dec 13, 2025

Turkey’s central bank said year‑end consumer price inflation expectations fell to 31.17% from 32.20%, according to its December survey of market participants.

The survey, conducted with 65 representatives from the real and financial sectors, showed monthly inflation expectations for December eased to 1.08% from 1.16%.

Twelve‑month inflation expectations dropped to 23.35% from 23.49%, while the 24‑month outlook declined to 17.45% from 17.69%.

Participants forecast the lira at 43.05 to the dollar by year‑end, down from 43.42, and at 51.08 in 12 months, up from 50.61.

The current account deficit expectation rose to $21.3 billion for 2025 from $20.9 billion in the previous survey, with next year’s forecast widening to $25.2 billion.

Growth expectations increased to 3.5% for this year and 3.9% for 2026.

Policy rate forecasts for upcoming central bank meetings stood at 38.2%, 37.01% and 35.55%, with the 12‑month outlook easing to 28.15%.

Famagusta Gazette